by Shane Ormond
On Sep 19, 2019
The Federal Reserve rate-setting committee cut rates by a quarter point yesterday, in an attempt to create a protective cushion for slowing economic growth. (Now all we need is a protective blanket and a protective play center and the global economy is all set.)
by Shane Ormond
On Sep 9, 2019
The director of MIT’s Media Lab stepped down over the weekend, after it emerged he accepted millions of dollars in donations from Jeffrey Epstein and taken steps to hide them (because, ya know, child sex trafficking and stuff).
- Airbnb’s Got Company: Marriot Searches for “Authenticity” in Your Spare Bedroom
- Disney’s Endgame Smashes Box Office Records
- This Guy’s Track Record is Unlike Anything I’ve Seen Before
- Americans Are Stressed and Angry and That Makes Me Stressed and Angry
Airbnb’s Got Company
Marriot Searches for “Authenticity” in Your Spare Bedroom
As the old saying goes, if you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em. (And if you can’t join them, just rip off their business model and build an app.)
The world’s largest hotel operator Marriott International (NASDAQ: MAR) is taking a big old bite of humble pie, swallowing its pride, and cooking up its own home-rental platform.
Marriot is the first major hotel company to make a move on the home-rental space. But it was only a matter of time.
Thanks to Airbnb, the home rental sector is now the lodging industry’s hottest segment. (The second hottest segment is hotel rooms with vibrating beds shaped like hearts.)
The hotel industry had been hoping the whole “sleep in some dude’s apartment thing” was just a fad. But as it turns out, folks prefer the privacy and laidback atmosphere of an apartment to a stuffy hotel room with a fridge that charges you $14 for a fun-sized bag of Gummi Bears.
Mini Fridges Are Out, Regular Fridges with Other People’s Food in Them Are In
According to a study conducted at Florida State University, Airbnb’s exponential growth is eating into hotel revenues and driving down occupancy rates and room prices.
The study found that a 1% increase in Airbnb’s supply lowered hotel revenues between 0.02% and 0.04%.
That might not sound like much (because math is hard). But according to the study’s co-author Tarik Dogru, that percentage drop would amount to a single-year loss of $91-365 million in New York City alone, based on the figures for 2016.
Authentically authentic: The study found that travelers felt that Airbnb’s properties were “more authentic” than the clinical experience of staying in a franchised hotel.
Of course, Marriott is going to have to abide by the same set of rules that govern all home rentals (which varies wildly state to state depending on how angry Airbnb has made the locals). But according to Professor Dogru, the benefits far outweigh the challenges.
“Airbnb does not ensure the security of guests, it’s not taxed in some jurisdictions, and it has flexibility to add new supply because of a lack of regulation,” Dogru said. “Those are some reasons why Airbnb has a significant competitive advantage against the hotel industry because adding a new hotel to the market can take several years.
That said, Marriot (which owns the W Hotels, Sheraton, and Ritz Carlton brands) will still try and bring some of that hotel-chain polish to the proceedings.
- Guests can earn loyalty points that can be redeemed for discounts and free services
- A 24-hour support line
- Any time in-person check-in
- (And presumably a fridge that charges you $10 a pop for trash you would never normally eat)
Disney’s Endgame Blasts Box Office Records
The movie where a bunch of very good-looking people in tight-fitting costumes beat up a giant purple man has shattered box office records and cemented itself in the annals of cinematic history. (It’s basically the Gone with the Wind of its time.)
NO SPOILER ZONE: Don’t worry if you haven’t seen Endgame yet. This is a strict no-spoiler zone. Partly because I respect you. (But mostly because I haven’t seen the movie yet.)
Avengers: Endgame put some serious butt in seats this opening weekend, with $350 million in domestic sales and $1.2 billion globally.
China alone accounted for $330.5 million of ticket sales, proving once and for all that everybody likes to see a hunky dude wearing an American flag on his chest beat up aliens.
It’s all the more impressive considering China is super strict about what western movies can be shown in the country. But over the years, Disney has become a deft hand at getting its movies into theatres.
Doctor Strange: The Chinese version of Iron Man 3 has an extended scene where a Chinese doctor (Doctor Wu) saves Iron Man’s life with emergency heart surgery. This was specifically included to “Wu” Chinese audiences.
Disney’s (NYSE: DIS) stock is rocketing towards its best month in 30 years, as investor confidence was bolstered by three hours of superheroes going to town on a big weird alien.
Avengers: Turning Point
With the help of Marvel’s Kevin Feige, Disney has turned some old superheroes it bought on the cheap into a blockbuster movie franchise unlike the world has ever seen.
Endgame marks a turning point for Disney, bringing an end to the epic story its been building (on and off) for the last decade.
The House of Mouse will keep making Marvel movies, of course. But prepare for some choppy waters ahead as the next generation of heroes is cycled in (and some older characters are relegated to the small screen on Disney’s new Notflix streaming platform).
This Guy’s Track Record is Unlike Anything I’ve Seen Before
Before we move on to today’s One Last Thing, I want to quickly introduce you to a trader by the name of Bryan Bottarelli.
Bryan’s track record is an oddity in the world of trading.
He came up working the pits at the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), on the Apple trading desk. Every day, millions of dollars rested on his shoulders. But since leaving the CBOE, his personal trading record has been unmatched.
In 2018 alone, he made 447 real-time trade recommendations with an average return that could double your money every six trades.
In fact, his track record generated an average of $4,243 per day last year.
And for the first time ever, Bryan’s revealing the secrets he learned in the live trading pit to the world at large in a special online event.
In this free presentation, he will show you the elite “M” and “W” trading patterns he used to generate ultra-fast profits, many times in less than an hour.
Bryan’s made real-time trades that produced wins of 40% in 40 minutes… 48% in 27 minutes… and 53% in just two hours.
And during his 7-Figure Trader Summit, you’ll even see how the gains from his actual trade recommendations could have grown a $5,000 portfolio to $1.1 million during 2018 alone…
With NO cherry-picking – that’s getting into every single one of his trades (winners and losers).
But in order to learn these secrets, you must click here to register.
[Editor’s note: Because of the nature of this presentation, Bryan’s team cannot guarantee registration will stay open for much longer. In order to ensure you can participate in this special 7-Figure Summit, you must reserve your spot now.]
ONE LAST THING
Americans Are Stressed and Angry and That Makes Me Stressed and Angry
Before we start this One Last Thing, I want you to do me a favor.
Slip into something more comfortable. Go make yourself a nice cup of tea. Put on some calming ocean sounds.
Take a deep breath and let a wave of calm flow over you.
Okay. Now that you’re nice and relaxed, today’s One Last Thing is about how AMERICANS ARE FREAKING OUT, MAN!!!
According to a Gallup poll, Americans are among the most stressed in the world. And we are more worried and angry than we’ve been in years. (Maybe it’s all those exciting superhero movies.)
Fifty-five percent of Americans surveyed said they were experiencing stress, beating out the global average by a full 20 percentage points. (USA! USA! USA!)
This places America as the #7 most stressful country in the world — just behind tourism hotspots Sri Lanka (55%), Tanzania (57%), and the #1 most stressful place in the world: Greece (must be all the tzatziki and plate smashing).
Forty-five percent of Americans said they felt worried. Which is higher than last year, but low enough to keep us off the prestigious list of top 10 most worried countries in the world. Topping the charts this year were Mozambique (63%), Chad (61%), and Benin (60%).
Only one in five Americans (22%) said they felt angry a lot. Which seems a little low to be honest. If Twitter and 24-hour news are anything to go by, everybody is 100% angry all the time.
But according to the poll, Americans were half as likely to be angry as the populations of Palestine (43%), Iran (43%), Iraq (44%), and Armenia (45%). (I wonder what those guys have to be angry about?)
The researchers point out that, despite a strong economy, “the levels of negative emotions in the past several years are even higher than during the U.S. recession years.”
So where’s all this extra stress coming from? Terrorism? Memes? Paper straws?
Well, Gallup doesn’t specifically ask about political affiliation in its world poll. But it did determine:
There was “a strong relationship between stress, worry, and disapproval of the job that President Donald Trump is doing. Those who disapprove of Trump’s job performance are significantly more likely to experience each of these negative emotions than those who do.”
Hoo boy! If y’all are stressed about politics now, just wait until we get into the primaries.
Instead of a graph next year, Gallup will just release pictures of all the folks whose heads exploded from stress.
Closing Data for 4/26/19
|S&P Index 500||$2,939.76||↑ 0.46%|
- S&P 500 and the NASDAQ hit record highs on increased consumer spending and mild inflation data.
- Pork prices on the rise as deadly swine fever affects China’s hog population. U.S. farmers looking to fill the gap to meet the meat demand.
- Amazon (AMZN) leases office space and begins recruiting for “HQ2”, the company’s second headquarters in Virginia. (Lucky for Bezos, the Mid-Atlantic humidity won’t mess up his hair.)
Editor, One Last Thing